Who Will Win The Oscar? (Part Two)

Let’s pick things up where we left off.  More predictions for The 79th Annual Academy Awards.
 
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – EDDIE MURPHY (DREAMGIRLS)
 
The 45-year-old comedian finally snagged his first Oscar nomination in a movie many thought would be the frontrunner in the Best Picture race.  Despite receiving 8 nods in 5 categories, Dreamgirls was excluded from the top category.  However, it will not go home empty-handed thanks to two key, supporting performances and its heavy presence in the Best Original Song category.
 
Murphy has received perhaps the best reviews of his career playing James “Thunder” Early and he’s already collected some awards for his efforts.  (He recently won the Best Supporting Actor prize at the SAG Awards.)  With two new movies on the horizon this year – Norbit and the much anticipated Shrek The Third – an Oscar win would certainly add some cachet to his well-respected comic reputation.
 
Then again, we could see a potential upset.  Murphy faces stiff competition from Djimon Hounsou (Blood Diamond) who was terrific in Amistad and was previously nominated for In America.  But I don’t think Hounsou will garner enough votes to pull it off.  Alan Arkin has been previously recognized twice in the Best Actor category (1966’s The Russians Are Coming The Russians Are Coming and 1968’s The Heart Is A Lonely Hunter).  His portrayal of the patriarch of a dysfunctional family in Little Miss Sunshine is his first Supporting Actor nomination but his Oscar slump will continue unabated.
 
Jackie Earle Haley (Little Children) and Mark Wahlberg (The Departed) shouldn’t worry about preparing a victory speech. 
 
It’s Murphy all the way.
 
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – JENNIFER HUDSON (DREAMGIRLS)
 
If there’s going to be a surprise winner at this year’s Academy Awards, this might be the category where it happens.  But I don’t think so.
 
It is possible that little Abigail Breslin, the beauty pagent contestant spawned from a dysfunctional brood in Little Miss Sunshine, could pull an Anna Paquin and ruin a lot of Oscar pools.  But it’s not likely.  Cate Blanchett is the only previous winner in this category.  She won in 2005 for playing Katherine Hepburn in Martin Scorsese’s The Aviator.  So, she’ll be passed over.  Adriana Barraza and Rinko Kikuchi, both recognized for their work in the multilingual Babel, will cancel each other out.
 
That leaves Jennifer Hudson, the former American Idol finalist who, according to moviegoers and critics who’ve seen Dreamgirls, managed to do the impossible:  steal Beyonce’s thunder.  Not only did Beyonce not get a nomination for Best Actress, she hasn’t really been talked about at all.  (Has there really been that much of an outcry over her snub?)  All the attention has been focused on Eddie Murphy and Hudson.
 
My prediction:  Hudson takes the gold and we’ll never hear from her again.
 
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE – AN INCONVENIENT TRUTH
 
In a category filled with non-fiction films about Iraq, child molestation, and childhood religious indoctrination, it will be the environment that takes centre stage on February 25th.  Al Gore’s participation in the movie, An Inconvenient Truth, has reinvigorated the former 2-term Vice President to the point where his 2000 campaign manager has dropped hints that, should he win that night, he may announce during his acceptance speech that he’s going to run for President in 2008.  While it would’ve been nice not to have been tipped off like that (I prefer surprises), how newsworthy would it be for the longtime Democratic politician to not only win an Oscar but also kick off another run at The White House?
 
There’s no need to talk about the other nominees in this category.  An Inconvenient Truth is a lock to win.
 
And now, here are my quick predictions for the remaining categories:
 
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE – CARS
 
BEST ART DIRECTION – PAN’S LABYRINTH
 
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY – PAN’S LABYRINTH
 
BEST COSTUME DESIGN – MARIE ANTOINETTE
 
BEST FILM EDITING – THE DEPARTED
 
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY – LITTLE MISS SUNSHINE
 
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY – THE DEPARTED
 
BEST MAKE-UP – PAN’S LABYRINTH
 
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS – PIRATES OF THE CARIBBEAN: DEAD MAN’S CHEST
 
BEST SOUND EFFECTS EDITING – LETTERS FROM IWO JIMA
 
BEST SOUND – FLAGS OF OUR FATHERS
 
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – BABEL
 
BEST ORIGINAL SONG – Listen (DREAMGIRLS)
 
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM – PAN’S LABYRINTH
 
BEST ANIMATED SHORT – NO TIME FOR NUTS
 
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT – BINTA AND THE GREAT IDEA
 
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT – TWO HANDS
 
The 79th Academy Awards will be handed out Sunday, February 25th on ABC starting at 8 p.m.
 
Dennis Earl
Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
Tuesday, February 6, 2007
1:11 a.m.
Advertisements
Published in: on February 6, 2007 at 1:15 am  Leave a Comment  

The URI to TrackBack this entry is: https://dennisearl.wordpress.com/2007/02/06/who-will-win-the-oscar-part-two/trackback/

RSS feed for comments on this post.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

%d bloggers like this: