Oscar Picks (Part Three)

 
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE – NO END IN SIGHT
 
Michael Moore made a big mistake not submitting his terrific Fahrenheit 9/11 for consideration of this category several years ago.  By trying to secure a Best Picture nomination instead, he blew his chance at scoring a surefire second Oscar.  Sicko, his take on health care, faces an uphill battle against four titles that deal with Afghanistan (Taxi To The Dark Side), Uganda (War/Dance) and Iraq (Operation Homecoming: Writing The Wartime Experience, No End In Sight).  Even though it did well with critics and audiences, Moore won’t be invited to take the stage to give a big, fat “I told you so!”.  (When he won five years ago for Bowling For Columbine, another terrific effort, he talked about the phony Iraq war and actually got booed.  Personally, I thought it was the wrong venue for such a statement even though I didn’t disagree with a single word he said.)
 
Instead, he’ll be watching writer/director Charles Ferguson and producer Audrey Marrs make their way down the aisle to accept their Oscars for No End In Sight, the highly acclaimed history of the Iraq invasion that has already won several critics’ awards as well as the Special Jury Prize at The 2007 Sundance Film Festival.  I’m willing to bet he’ll lead a standing ovation when that happens.
 
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY – Diablo Cody (JUNO)
 
Unless lovely Ellen Page snags the Best Actress trophy (which could happen but don’t get too optimistic), this will be the sole consolation prize for Juno.  Tamara Jenkins (The Savages), Brad Bird (Ratatouille) and Nancy Oliver (Lars And The Real Girl) can relax and enjoy the show since their names won’t be called.  Tony Gilroy has an outside chance with his script for Michael Clayton but history has proven that a sleeper Best Picture nominee usually wins for writing.  And who doesn’t want to see the
charming, funny and sexy Cody all glammed up and on stage doing her thing?  The first-time screenwriter has thus far lived an entertaining life (author, screenwriter, wife, stepmom, stripper, phone sex operator) which should provide her with some good material for her acceptance speech.
 
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY – Joel & Ethan Coen (NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN)
 
This category focuses on scripts that were inspired by other sources like novels and stage plays. 
 
Christopher Hampton won’t win for Atonement.  Neither will Ronald Harwood (The Diving Bell And The Butterfly).  Director Paul Thomas Anderson will not only lose in that category but in this one as well for writing There Will Be Blood’s screenplay.  And Canadian Sarah Polley, who wrote and directed the acclaimed Away From Her, like Atom Egoyan before her (The Sweet Hereafter), will have to savour her nomination.
 
Why is this all so?  Because The Coen Brothers are going to have a big Oscar night.  Not only will they win Best Picture and Director, they’re going to win for writing the cinematic version of Cormac McCarthy’s novel.  This is their year.
 
 
And here are the rest of my picks:
 
BEST ART DIRECTION – ATONEMENT
 
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY – NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
 
BEST COSTUME DESIGN – ELIZABETH: THE GOLDEN AGE
 
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT – FREEHELD
 
BEST LIVE-ACTION SHORT – AT NIGHT
 
BEST ANIMATED SHORT – I MET THE WALRUS
 
BEST FOREIGN FILM – THE COUNTERFEITERS
 
BEST MAKE-UP – NORBIT
 
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – James Newton Howard (MICHAEL CLAYTON)
 
BEST ORIGINAL SONG – Falling Slowly (ONCE)
 
BEST SOUND EDITING – THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM
 
BEST SOUND MIXING – THE BOURNE ULTIMATUM
 
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS – TRANSFORMERS
 
BEST FILM EDITING – NO COUNTRY FOR OLD MEN
 
The 80th Academy Awards airs Sunday, February 24th at 8:30 p.m. on ABC in the US and CTV in Canada.
 
Dennis Earl
Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
Thursday, February 14, 2008
1:11 a.m.
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Published in: on February 14, 2008 at 1:11 am  Leave a Comment  

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