Predicting The 2010 Oscars (Part Two)

In Part One of this series, I offered my predictions for Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor and Best Actress for this year’s Academy Awards.  For this concluding installment, I present my picks for the 20 remaining categories.
 
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS – Mo’Nique (PRECIOUS)
 
The Spanish goddess Penelope Cruz was last year’s winner in this category, thanks to her performance in Woody Allen’s Vicky Cristina Barcelona, so don’t expect a repeat for her work in the musical Nine.  Maggie Gyllenhaal, Jeff Bridges’ co-star in Crazy Heart, won’t need to prepare a speech.  Neither will the other first-time nominees, Vera Farmiga and Anna Kendrick (both for Up In The Air) who will cancel each other out.
 
That leaves the hairy-legged Mo’Nique.  Playing the damaged, abusive mother in Precious, she has won award after award after award for this breakthrough performance.  It would be an utter shock if her name isn’t called.  Mo’Nique for Best Supporting Actress.
 
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR – Christoph Waltz (INGLOURIOUS BASTERDS)
 
Like many of the major categories this year, this one looks like another sure thing.  That’s bad news for Stanley Tucci, who plays the suspected murderer of a young girl in the adaptation of the blockbuster novel, The Lovely Bones, as well as two-time nominee Woody Harrelson (The Messenger is his first nod since The People Vs. Larry Flynt), Toronto-born Christopher Plummer who snagged his first nomination ever at age 80 and previous Best Original Screenplay winner Matt Damon (who shared that award with old pal Ben Affleck for Good Will Hunting).
 
Since winning the Best Actor prize at The Cannes Film Festival this past May for playing a Nazi in Quentin Tarantino’s Inglourious Basterds, this Viennese actor, who had never appeared in an English-language production before, has been saving a lot of shelf space for all his awards.  He’ll need to make just a little more room for his Oscar on March 7th.  Christoph Waltz for Best Supporting Actor.
 
BEST ANIMATED FEATURE – UP
 
Since this category was introduced in 2002, Pixar has won four times (Finding Nemo, The Incredibles, Ratatouille and Wall-E).  That’s a 80% success rate.  (Monsters, Inc. lost to Shrek.)  Up is its sixth nominated animated feature, yet another critically acclaimed blockbuster. 
 
For only the second time in its history, there are five nominees this year (normally there’s just three).  The Princess And The Frog is Disney’s first foray into old-school, handdrawn animation (with a technological assist) in nearly a decade.  It was a big hit over the Christmas holiday but not a real strong bet to win.  Neither is The Secret Of Kells which hasn’t really had much of a theatrical release in North America.  (It opens five days after the Oscar telecast in “limited” release.)  The stop-motion Coraline (directed by The Nightmare Before Christmas’ Henry Selick) and Wes Anderson’s new school Fantastic Mr. Fox (based on a Roald Dahl novel) have both received strong reviews and if either of their names were called, the result would be jolting.
 
However, Pixar can rest easy.  It’s Up all the way for Best Animated Feature.
 
BEST ORIGINAL SONG – The Weary Kind (Theme From Crazy Heart) (CRAZY HEART)
 
The Susan Lucci of The Academy Awards, Randy Newman has two movie-related tracks competing for Oscar gold this year.  Out of nine previous Best Original Song nominations (dating back to 1983 when he was first recognized for Ragtime’s One More Hour), he’s only won once (Monsters, Inc.’s If I Didn’t Have You).  His two entries from The Princess And The Frog mark his tenth and eleventh academy citations (and that doesn’t even include his eight Original Score nominations).  I suspect some vote splitting, as a result.  Nine’s Take It All and Loin de Paname (from Paris 36) are likely too unknown and too obscure to generate much enthusiasm. 
 
That leaves The Weary Kind from Crazy Heart.  We have a winner.
 
BEST ORIGINAL SCORE – Michael Giacchino (UP)
 
A Frenchman, a German and four Americans are all competing for Best Original Score this year.  8-time nominee Hans Zimmer, who nabbed a gong for his contributions to The Lion King, isn’t likely to win for scoring the latest Sherlock Holmes.  Neither is fellow 8-time nominee, 1-time winner James Horner.  The Avatar composer will have to be content with his win for Titanic.  The third nod won’t be the charm for Alexandre Desplat and his music for the animated critics’ fave, Fantastic Mr. Fox, nor do I foresee Marco Beltrami and Buck Sanders sharing the award for scoring The Hurt Locker. 
 
That leaves Michael Giacchino.  He didn’t win for his work on Ratatouille, his only previous nomination.  He’ll win for Up.
 
Here are my predictions for the remaining categories:
 
BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM – THE WHITE RIBBON
 
BEST VISUAL EFFECTS – AVATAR
 
BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY – Mark Boal (THE HURT LOCKER)
 
BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY – Jason Reitman & Sheldon Turner (UP IN THE AIR)
 
BEST SOUND EDITING – AVATAR
 
BEST SOUND MIXING – AVATAR
 
BEST FILM EDITING – AVATAR
 
BEST ART DIRECTION – AVATAR
 
BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY – AVATAR
 
BEST COSTUME DESIGN – THE YOUNG VICTORIA
 
BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE – FOOD, INC.
 
BEST DOCUMENTARY SHORT SUBJECT – MUSIC BY PRUDENCE
 
BEST LIVE ACTION SHORT – KAVI
 
BEST ANIMATED SHORT – A MATTER OF LOAF AND DEATH
 
BEST MAKE-UP – STAR TREK
 
The 82nd Academy Awards, hosted by Steve Martin and Alec Baldwin, will air Sunday, March 7 at 8:30 p.m. on ABC and CTV.
 
Dennis Earl
Hamilton, Ontario, Canada
Friday, March 5, 2010 
11:48 p.m. 
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Published in: on March 5, 2010 at 11:48 pm  Leave a Comment  

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